Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 20:30

Orlando City SC 1.67

X 4.10

Philadelphia Union 4.36

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union:

🔮 Orlando City SC wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Orlando City SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-26.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Philadelphia Union in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $920.0. 👉 Orlando City SC did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Orlando City SC scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Philadelphia Union scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Orlando City SC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Philadelphia Union. 👉 Orlando City SC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union for the USA MLS – 2 of October

When the best bet on Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union

Is it a good idea to bet on Orlando City SC?

🔵 Orlando City SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $515.90
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$285.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $310.00
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$590.00.

Is it worth betting on Philadelphia Union?

🔴 Philadelphia Union: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $436.80
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$433.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Orlando City SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Orlando City SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Orlando City SC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orlando City SC x Philadelphia Union

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.