Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy Betting tips for September 18 in USA MLS
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18/9/2024 23:30 |
 Portland Timbers2.10 |
X 3.90 |
LA Galaxy  2.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy:
๐ฎ LA Galaxy wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on LA Galaxy, you can win up to $1450.00!
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Important information for your tip for Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Portland Timbers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $340.0. |
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Analysis from Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy for the USA MLS – 18 of September
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๐๏ธ Portland Timbers X LA Galaxy – USA MLS |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184048 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy
Is betting on Portland Timbers worth it?
๐ต Portland Timbers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $22.00
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$958.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $232.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$688.00.
Is it worth betting on LA Galaxy?
๐ด LA Galaxy: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 900 times – profiting $1710.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$1610.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Portland Timbers
โฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Portland Timbers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Portland Timbers.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 LA Galaxy.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portland Timbers x LA Galaxy
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.
