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Home Β» Predictions Β» Major League Soccer Β» San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake Betting tips for October 5 in USA MLS
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 23h30 USA MLS
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
PREDICTION No tip
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
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San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake Betting tips for October 5 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake, Saturday, 5/10/2024
πŸ“… 5/10/2024
23:30
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
3.19
X
3.90
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
2.01

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake

The main points for the tip for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on San Jose Earthquakes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $7.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Salt Lake in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, San Jose Earthquakes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Salt Lake, San Jose Earthquakes scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 San Jose Earthquakes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Real Salt Lake matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake, with San Jose Earthquakes as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, San Jose Earthquakes conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Real Salt Lake conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, San Jose Earthquakes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Real Salt Lake.

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Summary

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Analysis from San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake for the USA MLS – 5 of October

🏟️ San Jose Earthquakes X Real Salt Lake – USA MLS
πŸ“… 5 of October, 2024 – 23:30
πŸ”΅ San Jose Earthquakes – Winning probability: 30.86% | Fair line: 3.24
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.55% | Fair line: 4.64
πŸ”΄ Real Salt Lake – Winning probability: 47.59% | Fair line: 2.1
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Jose Earthquakes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake

Is betting on San Jose Earthquakes worth it?

πŸ”΅ San Jose Earthquakes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $678.90;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$11.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$142.00.

Is betting on Real Salt Lake worth it?

πŸ”΄ Real Salt Lake: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $484.80;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$35.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Jose Earthquakes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 San Jose Earthquakes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 San Jose Earthquakes.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Jose Earthquakes x Real Salt Lake

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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