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Home ยป Predictions ยป Major League Soccer ยป St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy Betting tips for September 1 in USA MLS
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 15h45 USA MLS
St. Louis City SC St. Louis City SC
PREDICTION St. Louis City SC wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
LA Galaxy LA Galaxy
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy Betting tips for September 1 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy, Sunday, 1/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/9/2024
15:45
St. Louis City SC St. Louis City SC
3.00
X
3.85
LA Galaxy LA Galaxy
2.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy:

๐Ÿ”ฎ St. Louis City SC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St. Louis City SC, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St. Louis City SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on LA Galaxy in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $395.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, St. Louis City SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, St. Louis City SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, LA Galaxy conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ LA Galaxy is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy for the USA MLS – 1 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ St. Louis City SC X LA Galaxy – USA MLS
๐Ÿ“… 1 of September, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต St. Louis City SC – Winning probability: 48.11% | Fair line: 2.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.95% | Fair line: 4.77
๐Ÿ”ด LA Galaxy – Winning probability: 30.94% | Fair line: 3.23
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 St. Louis City SC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between St. Louis City SC and LA Galaxy.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1171332 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy

Should you bet on St. Louis City SC?

๐Ÿ”ต St. Louis City SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $960.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$440.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $598.50;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$191.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on LA Galaxy?

๐Ÿ”ด LA Galaxy: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $325.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$364.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 St. Louis City SC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 St. Louis City SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 St. Louis City SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 St. Louis City SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St. Louis City SC x LA Galaxy

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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