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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 20h30 USA MLS
Toronto FC Toronto FC
PREDICTION Toronto FC wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
ODD: @2.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
20:30
Toronto FC Toronto FC
2.89
X
3.40
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
2.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls:

🔮 Toronto FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toronto FC, you can win up to $1445.00!

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Important information for your tip for Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toronto FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $103.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Toronto FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS – 2 of October

🏟️ Toronto FC X New York Red Bulls – USA MLS
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Toronto FC – Winning probability: 44.42% | Fair line: 2.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.97% | Fair line: 4.35
🔴 New York Red Bulls – Winning probability: 32.61% | Fair line: 3.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toronto FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls

Is it a good idea to bet on Toronto FC?

🔵 Toronto FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $831.60
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$271.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Should you bet on New York Red Bulls?

🔴 New York Red Bulls: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $435.60
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$234.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toronto FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Toronto FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Toronto FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Toronto FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toronto FC x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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