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Home » Predictions » Mazatlan FC x Club America Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Liga MX
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 03h00 Mexico Liga MX
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Club America Club America
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Mazatlan FC x Club America Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Mazatlan FC x Club America, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
03:00
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
3.45
X
3.50
Club America Club America
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mazatlan FC x Club America:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Mazatlan FC x Club America:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mazatlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Club America scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Club America, Mazatlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Mazatlan FC x Club America, with Mazatlan FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Club America conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Mazatlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Club America.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Club America has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mazatlan FC x Club America for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of November

🏟️ Mazatlan FC X Club America – Mexico Liga MX
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 03:00
🔵 Mazatlan FC – Winning probability: 24.83% | Fair line: 4.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.18% | Fair line: 3.21
🔴 Club America – Winning probability: 43.99% | Fair line: 2.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mazatlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mazatlan FC x Club America right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213551 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mazatlan FC x Club America

Is betting on Mazatlan FC worth it?

🔵 Mazatlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $612.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$85.00.

Is betting on Club America worth it?

🔴 Club America: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $418.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mazatlan FC x Club America

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mazatlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mazatlan FC x Club America

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Mazatlan FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Mazatlan FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Mazatlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mazatlan FC x Club America

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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