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Home » Predictions » Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL Betting tips for October 23 in Mexico Liga MX
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 03h00 Mexico Liga MX
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
ODD: @3.51 Don't miss this prediction!

Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL Betting tips for October 23 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
📅 23/10/2024
03:00
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
3.50
X
3.51
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
1.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1755.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mazatlan FC in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $253.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Mazatlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Tigres UANL.
👉 Even as a visitor, Tigres UANL won the last 3 head-to-head matches Mazatlan FC´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 23 of October

🏟️ Mazatlan FC X Tigres UANL – Mexico Liga MX
📅 23 of October, 2024 – 03:00
🔵 Mazatlan FC – Winning probability: 33.73% | Fair line: 2.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.61% | Fair line: 2.73
🔴 Tigres UANL – Winning probability: 29.66% | Fair line: 3.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mazatlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mazatlan FC and Tigres UANL.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207665 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL

Is it worth betting on Mazatlan FC?

🔵 Mazatlan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $850.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$190.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $928.70;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$298.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tigres UANL?

🔴 Tigres UANL: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $270.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mazatlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Mazatlan FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Mazatlan FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Mazatlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mazatlan FC x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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