Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara Betting tips for April 6 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 01:05

Monterrey 1.84

X 3.50

Chivas Guadalajara 3.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara:

🔮 Monterrey wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monterrey, you can win up to $920.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-121.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara, with Monterrey as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Monterrey matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara:

Analysis from Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga MX – 6 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296265 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara

Should you bet on Monterrey?

🔵 Monterrey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $487.20;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$67.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Should you bet on Chivas Guadalajara?

🔴 Chivas Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Monterrey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Monterrey. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Chivas Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.