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Home » Predictions » Monterrey x Necaxa Betting tips for February 2 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 01h05 Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
PREDICTION Monterrey wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Necaxa Necaxa
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Monterrey x Necaxa Betting tips for February 2 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Necaxa, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
01:05
Monterrey Monterrey
1.60
X
3.90
Necaxa Necaxa
4.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monterrey x Necaxa:

🔮 Monterrey wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monterrey, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monterrey x Necaxa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Necaxa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Monterrey x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 2 of February

🏟️ Monterrey X Necaxa – Mexico Liga MX
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 01:05
🔵 Monterrey – Winning probability: 77.24% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.56% | Fair line: 7.38
🔴 Necaxa – Winning probability: 9.20% | Fair line: 10.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monterrey x Necaxa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255014 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monterrey x Necaxa

Is betting on Monterrey worth it?

🔵 Monterrey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $406.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Necaxa worth it?

🔴 Necaxa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $333.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$577.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Necaxa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Necaxa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Monterrey, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Monterrey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Necaxa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Necaxa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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