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Home » Predictions » Monterrey x Tigres UANL Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 03h10 Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
PREDICTION Tigres UANL Wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
ODD: @2.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Monterrey x Tigres UANL Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Tigres UANL, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
03:10
Monterrey Monterrey
2.25
X
3.30
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
2.89

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monterrey x Tigres UANL:

🔮 Tigres UANL wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tigres UANL, you can win up to $1445.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Monterrey x Tigres UANL:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-218.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $406.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Tigres UANL, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Tigres UANL.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monterrey x Tigres UANL?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monterrey x Tigres UANL, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monterrey x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 20 of October

🏟️ Monterrey X Tigres UANL – Mexico Liga MX
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 03:10
🔵 Monterrey – Winning probability: 30.43% | Fair line: 3.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.84% | Fair line: 3.73
🔴 Tigres UANL – Winning probability: 42.73% | Fair line: 2.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monterrey x Tigres UANL right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204480 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monterrey x Tigres UANL

Is it worth betting on Monterrey?

🔵 Monterrey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $375.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $621.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tigres UANL?

🔴 Tigres UANL: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $812.70
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$242.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Tigres UANL

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Tigres UANL

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Monterrey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Monterrey.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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