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Home » Predictions » Monterrey x Tijuana Betting tips for March 30 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 30 March 2025, 03h10 Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
PREDICTION Monterrey wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Tijuana Tijuana
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Monterrey x Tijuana Betting tips for March 30 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Tijuana, Sunday, 30/3/2025
📅 30/3/2025
03:10
Monterrey Monterrey
1.36
X
5.00
Tijuana Tijuana
6.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monterrey x Tijuana:

🔮 Monterrey wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monterrey, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monterrey x Tijuana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tijuana, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Monterrey matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Monterrey has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Tijuana playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Tijuana as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monterrey x Tijuana?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Monterrey x Tijuana for the Mexico Liga MX – 30 of March

🏟️ Monterrey X Tijuana – Mexico Liga MX
📅 30 of March, 2025 – 03:10
🔵 Monterrey – Winning probability: 93.16% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.53% | Fair line: 22.07
🔴 Tijuana – Winning probability: 2.31% | Fair line: 43.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monterrey x Tijuana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monterrey x Tijuana

Is betting on Monterrey worth it?

🔵 Monterrey: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $334.80;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$264.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $200.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$750.00.

Should you bet on Tijuana?

🔴 Tijuana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $110.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$870.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Tijuana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Tijuana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Monterrey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Monterrey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Monterrey.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Tijuana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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