Monterrey x Unam Pumas Betting tips for October 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Unam Pumas, Thursday, 24/10/2024

📅 24/10/2024 01:00

Monterrey 2.20

X 3.30

Unam Pumas 3.04

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monterrey x Unam Pumas:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

Some important points for the tip for Monterrey x Unam Pumas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-108.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Unam Pumas, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Unam Pumas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Monterrey has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Unam Pumas playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Monterrey x Unam Pumas?

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Analysis from Monterrey x Unam Pumas for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monterrey x Unam Pumas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207668 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

Is betting on Monterrey worth it?

🔵 Monterrey: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $552.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$12.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is it worth betting on Unam Pumas?

🔴 Unam Pumas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Unam Pumas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Monterrey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Monterrey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Monterrey.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.