Necaxa x Atlas Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Necaxa x Atlas, Sunday, 10/11/2024

📅 10/11/2024 23:00

Necaxa 2.15

X 3.25

Atlas 3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Necaxa x Atlas:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Necaxa x Atlas

Important information for your tip for Necaxa x Atlas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Necaxa x Atlas, with Necaxa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Necaxa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Necaxa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atlas.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Necaxa x Atlas?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Necaxa x Atlas:

Analysis from Necaxa x Atlas for the Mexico Liga MX – 10 of November

When the best bet on Necaxa x Atlas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1219192 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Necaxa x Atlas

Should you bet on Necaxa?

🔵 Necaxa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $448.50
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$161.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $810.00;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$170.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Atlas?

🔴 Atlas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Necaxa x Atlas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Necaxa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Necaxa x Atlas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Necaxa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Necaxa.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Necaxa x Atlas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.