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Home » Predictions » Necaxa x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for November 7 in Mexico Liga MX
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Necaxa Necaxa
PREDICTION Necaxa wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Necaxa x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for November 7 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Necaxa x Atletico San Luis, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
01:00
Necaxa Necaxa
2.10
X
3.50
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Necaxa x Atletico San Luis:

🔮 Necaxa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Necaxa, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Necaxa x Atletico San Luis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico San Luis, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Necaxa x Atletico San Luis, with Necaxa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Necaxa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Atletico San Luis conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Necaxa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Atletico San Luis.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Necaxa x Atletico San Luis?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Necaxa x Atletico San Luis:

Analysis from Necaxa x Atletico San Luis for the Mexico Liga MX – 7 of November

🏟️ Necaxa X Atletico San Luis – Mexico Liga MX
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Necaxa – Winning probability: 45.89% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.20% | Fair line: 3.42
🔴 Atletico San Luis – Winning probability: 24.91% | Fair line: 4.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Necaxa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Necaxa and Atletico San Luis.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Necaxa x Atletico San Luis

Should you bet on Necaxa?

🔵 Necaxa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$34.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$15.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico San Luis?

🔴 Atletico San Luis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Necaxa x Atletico San Luis

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Necaxa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Necaxa x Atletico San Luis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Necaxa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Necaxa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico San Luis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Necaxa x Atletico San Luis

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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