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Home ยป Predictions ยป Necaxa x Cruz Azul Betting tips for January 29 in Mexico Liga MX
Wednesday, 29 January 2025, 03h05 Mexico Liga MX
Necaxa Necaxa
PREDICTION Necaxa wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
ODD: @4.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Necaxa x Cruz Azul Betting tips for January 29 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Necaxa x Cruz Azul, Wednesday, 29/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 29/1/2025
03:05
Necaxa Necaxa
4.50
X
3.70
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Necaxa x Cruz Azul:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Necaxa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Necaxa, you can win up to $2250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Necaxa x Cruz Azul:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Cruz Azul did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cruz Azul, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Necaxa x Cruz Azul?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Necaxa x Cruz Azul, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Necaxa x Cruz Azul for the Mexico Liga MX โ€“ 29 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Necaxa X Cruz Azul โ€“ Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 29 of January, 2025 โ€“ 03:05
๐Ÿ”ต Necaxa โ€“ Winning probability: 35.77% | Fair line: 2.8
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 21.60% | Fair line: 4.63
๐Ÿ”ด Cruz Azul โ€“ Winning probability: 42.63% | Fair line: 2.35
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Necaxa
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Necaxa x Cruz Azul is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1253705 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Necaxa x Cruz Azul

Is it a good idea to bet on Necaxa?

๐Ÿ”ต Necaxa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $1260.00
  • And would lose other 640 times โ€“ losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$620.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would lose other 780 times โ€“ losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$186.00.

Is it worth betting on Cruz Azul?

๐Ÿ”ด Cruz Azul: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times โ€“ profiting $301.00;
  • And would have lost other 570 times โ€“ with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$269.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Necaxa x Cruz Azul

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Necaxa
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Necaxa x Cruz Azul

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Necaxa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Necaxa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: +1.0 Necaxa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Necaxa x Cruz Azul

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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