1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Regionalliga West
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25/11/2023 13:00 |
 1. FC Bocholt1.83 |
X 3.65 |
Borussia Mgladbach II  3.44 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II
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Some important points for the tip for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II: π If you had bet $100 on 1. FC Bocholt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $394.0. |
π Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II
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Analysis from 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II for the Germany Regionalliga West – 25 of November
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ποΈ 1. FC Bocholt X Borussia Mgladbach II – Germany Regionalliga West |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II
Is it a good idea to bet on 1. FC Bocholt?
π΅ 1. FC Bocholt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $439.90
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$30.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $583.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$197.00.
Is it worth betting on Borussia Mgladbach II?
π΄ Borussia Mgladbach II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $585.60
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$174.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 1. FC Bocholt
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 1. FC Bocholt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 1. FC Bocholt.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for 1. FC Bocholt x Borussia Mgladbach II
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
