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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป ABC x Vila Nova Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
ABC ABC
PREDICTION Vila Nova Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Vila Nova Vila Nova
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

ABC x Vila Nova Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for ABC x Vila Nova, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
ABC ABC
7.75
X
4.00
Vila Nova Vila Nova
1.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for ABC x Vila Nova:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vila Nova wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vila Nova, you can win up to $710.00!

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The main points for the tip for ABC x Vila Nova:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ABC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vila Nova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vila Nova scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Vila Nova conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for ABC x Vila Nova

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Summary

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Analysis from ABC x Vila Nova for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ ABC X Vila Nova – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต ABC – Winning probability: 4.04% | Fair line: 24.77
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.07% | Fair line: 7.11
๐Ÿ”ด Vila Nova – Winning probability: 81.89% | Fair line: 1.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 ABC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ABC and Vila Nova.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ABC x Vila Nova

Should you bet on ABC?

๐Ÿ”ต ABC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $270.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$690.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$440.00.

Is it worth betting on Vila Nova?

๐Ÿ”ด Vila Nova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $344.40
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$164.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ABC x Vila Nova

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 ABC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ABC x Vila Nova

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 ABC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 ABC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Vila Nova.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ABC x Vila Nova

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves