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Home » Predictions » Others » AC Milan x Sassuolo Betting tips for December 3 in Coppa Italia
Tuesday, 03 December 2024, 20h00 Coppa Italia
AC Milan AC Milan
PREDICTION AC Milan wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Sassuolo Sassuolo
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Milan x Sassuolo Betting tips for December 3 in Coppa Italia

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Sassuolo, Tuesday, 3/12/2024
📅 3/12/2024
20:00
AC Milan AC Milan
1.25
X
5.75
Sassuolo Sassuolo
9.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Milan x Sassuolo:

🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $625.00!

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Important information for your tip for AC Milan x Sassuolo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $492.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sassuolo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sassuolo, AC Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Sassuolo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Milan x Sassuolo for the Coppa Italia – 3 of December

🏟️ AC Milan X Sassuolo – Coppa Italia
📅 3 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 AC Milan – Winning probability: 94.83% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.45% | Fair line: 29.0
🔴 Sassuolo – Winning probability: 1.72% | Fair line: 58.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Milan and Sassuolo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232346 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Milan x Sassuolo

Should you bet on AC Milan?

🔵 AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 950 times – having a profit of $237.50;
  • And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$187.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $142.50;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$827.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sassuolo?

🔴 Sassuolo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $172.40
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$807.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Sassuolo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Sassuolo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 AC Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 AC Milan.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Sassuolo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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