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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AC Reggiana x Sassuolo Betting tips for November 29 in Italy Serie B
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie B
AC Reggiana AC Reggiana
PREDICTION No tip
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Don't miss this prediction!

AC Reggiana x Sassuolo Betting tips for November 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo, Friday, 29/11/2024
πŸ“… 29/11/2024
19:30
AC Reggiana AC Reggiana
3.36
X
3.38
Sassuolo Sassuolo
2.03

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo

Some important points for the tip for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AC Reggiana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $570.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sassuolo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Sassuolo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Reggiana x Sassuolo for the Italy Serie B – 29 of November

🏟️ AC Reggiana X Sassuolo – Italy Serie B
πŸ“… 29 of November, 2024 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ AC Reggiana – Winning probability: 22.35% | Fair line: 4.47
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.22% | Fair line: 4.31
πŸ”΄ Sassuolo – Winning probability: 54.43% | Fair line: 1.84
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AC Reggiana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Reggiana and Sassuolo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Reggiana?

πŸ”΅ AC Reggiana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $519.20;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$260.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $547.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$222.60.

Should you bet on Sassuolo?

πŸ”΄ Sassuolo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $556.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$96.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Reggiana x Sassuolo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AC Reggiana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 AC Reggiana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AC Reggiana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sassuolo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Reggiana x Sassuolo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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