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Home » Predictions » Others » Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC Betting tips for September 20 in Venezuela Primera Division
Friday, 20 September 2024, 21h30 Venezuela Primera Division
Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello
PREDICTION Academia Puerto Cabello wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Angostura FC Angostura FC
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC Betting tips for September 20 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC, Friday, 20/9/2024
📅 20/9/2024
21:30
Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello
1.67
X
3.39
Angostura FC Angostura FC
4.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC:

🔮 Academia Puerto Cabello wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Academia Puerto Cabello, you can win up to $835.00!

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Important information for your tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Academia Puerto Cabello in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Angostura FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Angostura FC, Academia Puerto Cabello scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Academia Puerto Cabello matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Angostura FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Academia Puerto Cabello has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Angostura FC playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Angostura FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC:

Analysis from Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC for the Venezuela Primera Division – 20 of September

🏟️ Academia Puerto Cabello X Angostura FC – Venezuela Primera Division
📅 20 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Academia Puerto Cabello – Winning probability: 74.32% | Fair line: 1.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.40% | Fair line: 5.43
🔴 Angostura FC – Winning probability: 7.28% | Fair line: 13.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Academia Puerto Cabello
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184915 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC

Is it worth betting on Academia Puerto Cabello?

🔵 Academia Puerto Cabello: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $495.80;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$235.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $430.20;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$389.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Angostura FC?

🔴 Angostura FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $252.70;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$677.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Academia Puerto Cabello
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Academia Puerto Cabello and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Academia Puerto Cabello.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Angostura FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Academia Puerto Cabello x Angostura FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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