Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV Betting tips for October 18 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV, Friday, 18/10/2024

📅 18/10/2024 20:00

Academia Puerto Cabello 2.32

X 3.03

UCV 3.13

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV

Some important points for the tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Academia Puerto Cabello in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UCV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Academia Puerto Cabello scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Academia Puerto Cabello matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, UCV conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for UCV as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV for the Venezuela Primera Division – 18 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Academia Puerto Cabello and UCV.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202780 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV

Is it a good idea to bet on Academia Puerto Cabello?

🔵 Academia Puerto Cabello: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $567.60;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$2.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $669.90
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$0.10.

Should you bet on UCV?

🔴 UCV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $532.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Academia Puerto Cabello
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Academia Puerto Cabello and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Academia Puerto Cabello.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Academia Puerto Cabello x UCV

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.