Academico Viseu x Penafiel Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Academico Viseu x Penafiel, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 11:00

Academico Viseu 1.95

X 3.25

Penafiel 3.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Academico Viseu x Penafiel:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Academico Viseu x Penafiel

Important information for your tip for Academico Viseu x Penafiel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Academico Viseu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penafiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Penafiel conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Penafiel as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Academico Viseu x Penafiel for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Academico Viseu x Penafiel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Academico Viseu x Penafiel

Is it worth betting on Academico Viseu?

🔵 Academico Viseu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $456.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $720.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Penafiel?

🔴 Penafiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $556.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Academico Viseu x Penafiel

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Academico Viseu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Academico Viseu x Penafiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Academico Viseu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Academico Viseu.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Penafiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Academico Viseu x Penafiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.