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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Betting tips for November 24 in Romania Liga III
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Romania Liga III
ACS Sepsi II ACS Sepsi II
PREDICTION No tip
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
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ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Betting tips for November 24 in Romania Liga III

Our betting tip for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
12:00
ACS Sepsi II ACS Sepsi II
1.51
X
4.20
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
4.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

The main points for the tip for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ACS Sepsi II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $101.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc, ACS Sepsi II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, ACS Sepsi II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, ACS Sepsi II conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for ACS Sepsi II as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

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Summary

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Analysis from ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc for the Romania Liga III – 24 of November

🏟️ ACS Sepsi II X ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc – Romania Liga III
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ ACS Sepsi II – Winning probability: 70.17% | Fair line: 1.43
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.51% | Fair line: 5.13
πŸ”΄ ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc – Winning probability: 10.33% | Fair line: 9.69
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 ACS Sepsi II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ACS Sepsi II and ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Is it worth betting on ACS Sepsi II?

πŸ”΅ ACS Sepsi II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $357.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$57.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $640.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Should you bet on ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc?

πŸ”΄ ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $370.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$530.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 ACS Sepsi II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 ACS Sepsi II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 ACS Sepsi II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ACS Sepsi II x ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves