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Home Β» Predictions Β» ACV Assen x De Treffers Betting tips for November 30 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 13h30 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen ACV Assen
PREDICTION No tip
De Treffers De Treffers
Don't miss this prediction!

ACV Assen x De Treffers Betting tips for November 30 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for ACV Assen x De Treffers, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
13:30
ACV Assen ACV Assen
2.30
X
3.75
De Treffers De Treffers
2.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ACV Assen x De Treffers:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for ACV Assen x De Treffers

Important information for your tip for ACV Assen x De Treffers:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ACV Assen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on De Treffers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $191.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, De Treffers scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, ACV Assen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, De Treffers has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from ACV Assen x De Treffers for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 30 of November

🏟️ ACV Assen X De Treffers – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ ACV Assen – Winning probability: 43.90% | Fair line: 2.28
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.04% | Fair line: 5.25
πŸ”΄ De Treffers – Winning probability: 37.06% | Fair line: 2.7
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 ACV Assen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on ACV Assen x De Treffers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ACV Assen x De Treffers

Is it a good idea to bet on ACV Assen?

πŸ”΅ ACV Assen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$12.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $522.50
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$287.50.

Is betting on De Treffers worth it?

πŸ”΄ De Treffers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $518.00
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$112.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ACV Assen x De Treffers

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 ACV Assen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ACV Assen x De Treffers

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 ACV Assen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 ACV Assen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 De Treffers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ACV Assen x De Treffers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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