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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for November 23 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Thursday, 23 November 2023, 00h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD Grecia AD Grecia
PREDICTION Deportivo Saprissa Wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for November 23 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
21:00
AD Grecia AD Grecia
7.00
X
4.50
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
1.36

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Deportivo Saprissa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Saprissa, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Grecia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Saprissa scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Deportivo Saprissa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa, with AD Grecia as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AD Grecia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Deportivo Saprissa.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Deportivo Saprissa has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Deportivo Saprissa won the last 3 head-to-head matches AD Greciaยดs territory

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AD Grecia X Deportivo Saprissa – Costa Rica Primera Division
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 21:00
๐Ÿ”ต AD Grecia – Winning probability: 4.11% | Fair line: 24.35
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.17% | Fair line: 12.24
๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Saprissa – Winning probability: 87.72% | Fair line: 1.14
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 AD Grecia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Grecia and Deportivo Saprissa.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa

Is betting on AD Grecia worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต AD Grecia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$720.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $280.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Saprissa worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Saprissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $316.80
  • And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$196.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 AD Grecia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 AD Grecia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 AD Grecia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 AD Grecia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Grecia x Deportivo Saprissa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves