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Home » Predictions » Others » AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas Betting tips for November 16 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Saturday, 16 November 2024, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
PREDICTION AD Guanacasteca wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Puntarenas Puntarenas
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas Betting tips for November 16 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas, Saturday, 16/11/2024
📅 16/11/2024
01:00
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
1.90
X
3.25
Puntarenas Puntarenas
3.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas:

🔮 AD Guanacasteca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Guanacasteca, you can win up to $950.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $685.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Puntarenas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Puntarenas, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AD Guanacasteca is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 AD Guanacasteca has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Puntarenas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 16 of November

🏟️ AD Guanacasteca X Puntarenas – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 16 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 AD Guanacasteca – Winning probability: 60.49% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.25% | Fair line: 4.71
🔴 Puntarenas – Winning probability: 18.26% | Fair line: 5.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Guanacasteca?

🔵 AD Guanacasteca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Should you bet on Puntarenas?

🔴 Puntarenas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AD Guanacasteca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 AD Guanacasteca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Puntarenas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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