AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles Betting tips for October 2 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 21:00

AD Guanacasteca 1.74

X 3.50

Santos de Guápiles 4.06

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles

The main points for the tip for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $310.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos de Guápiles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Santos de Guápiles scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Santos de Guápiles conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AD Guanacasteca is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Santos de Guápiles has not lost any of them. 👉 AD Guanacasteca has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Santos de Guápiles playing at home.

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Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 2 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Guanacasteca?

🔵 AD Guanacasteca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $436.60
• And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$26.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $625.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Santos de Guápiles?

🔴 Santos de Guápiles: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $489.60;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AD Guanacasteca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 AD Guanacasteca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Santos de Guápiles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Santos de Guápiles

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.