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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป AD Llerenense x CF Talavera Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
AD Llerenense AD Llerenense
PREDICTION CF Talavera Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
CF Talavera CF Talavera
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

AD Llerenense x CF Talavera Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:15
AD Llerenense AD Llerenense
2.97
X
3.00
CF Talavera CF Talavera
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera:

๐Ÿ”ฎ CF Talavera wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CF Talavera, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Llerenense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CF Talavera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, CF Talavera scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AD Llerenense x CF Talavera?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AD Llerenense x CF Talavera, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AD Llerenense x CF Talavera for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AD Llerenense X CF Talavera – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:15
๐Ÿ”ต AD Llerenense – Winning probability: 9.73% | Fair line: 10.28
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.26% | Fair line: 2.84
๐Ÿ”ด CF Talavera – Winning probability: 55.00% | Fair line: 1.82
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 AD Llerenense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on AD Llerenense x CF Talavera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera

Should you bet on AD Llerenense?

๐Ÿ”ต AD Llerenense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $197.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$703.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$50.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on CF Talavera?

๐Ÿ”ด CF Talavera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $687.50;
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$237.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Llerenense x CF Talavera

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 AD Llerenense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 AD Llerenense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AD Llerenense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CF Talavera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Llerenense x CF Talavera

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves