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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon Betting tips for November 24 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
PREDICTION No tip
Municipal Perez Zeledon Municipal Perez Zeledon
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AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon Betting tips for November 24 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
01:00
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
1.38
X
4.50
Municipal Perez Zeledon Municipal Perez Zeledon
6.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon

Important information for your tip for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-48.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Municipal Perez Zeledon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ Municipal Perez Zeledon did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Municipal Perez Zeledon, AD San Carlos scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Municipal Perez Zeledon did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, AD San Carlos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Municipal Perez Zeledon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ AD San Carlos has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Municipal Perez Zeledon playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Municipal Perez Zeledon as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon

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Summary

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Analysis from AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 24 of November

🏟️ AD San Carlos X Municipal Perez Zeledon – Costa Rica Primera Division
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 80.74% | Fair line: 1.24
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.01% | Fair line: 9.08
πŸ”΄ Municipal Perez Zeledon – Winning probability: 8.25% | Fair line: 12.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AD San Carlos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD San Carlos and Municipal Perez Zeledon.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon

Should you bet on AD San Carlos?

πŸ”΅ AD San Carlos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $307.80;
  • And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$117.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$505.00.

Should you bet on Municipal Perez Zeledon?

πŸ”΄ Municipal Perez Zeledon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $422.40
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$497.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AD San Carlos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 AD San Carlos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AD San Carlos.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD San Carlos x Municipal Perez Zeledon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves