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Home » Predictions » Others » AD Tarma x Sport Boys Betting tips for November 1 in Peru Liga 1
Friday, 01 November 2024, 20h00 Peru Liga 1
AD Tarma AD Tarma
PREDICTION AD Tarma wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Sport Boys Sport Boys
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

AD Tarma x Sport Boys Betting tips for November 1 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for AD Tarma x Sport Boys, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
20:00
AD Tarma AD Tarma
1.48
X
4.00
Sport Boys Sport Boys
5.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Tarma x Sport Boys:

🔮 AD Tarma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Tarma, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AD Tarma x Sport Boys:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Tarma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-224.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Boys in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AD Tarma x Sport Boys?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AD Tarma x Sport Boys:

Analysis from AD Tarma x Sport Boys for the Peru Liga 1 – 1 of November

🏟️ AD Tarma X Sport Boys – Peru Liga 1
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 AD Tarma – Winning probability: 78.58% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.77% | Fair line: 6.77
🔴 Sport Boys – Winning probability: 6.66% | Fair line: 15.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Tarma x Sport Boys right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213551 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

Is it worth betting on AD Tarma?

🔵 AD Tarma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $379.20
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$169.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it worth betting on Sport Boys?

🔴 Sport Boys: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $343.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$587.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Tarma x Sport Boys

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 AD Tarma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 AD Tarma.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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