AD Tarma x Unión Comercio Betting tips for October 23 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 20:15

AD Tarma 1.28

X 5.00

Unión Comercio 8.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio:

🔮 AD Tarma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Tarma, you can win up to $640.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Tarma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Comercio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, AD Tarma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Union Comercio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Union Comercio as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from AD Tarma x Unión Comercio for the Peru Liga 1 – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207665 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio

Should you bet on AD Tarma?

🔵 AD Tarma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 960 times – profiting $268.80;
• And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$228.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $120.00
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$850.00.

Should you bet on Unión Comercio?

🔴 Unión Comercio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $77.50;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$912.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Tarma x Unión Comercio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 AD Tarma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 AD Tarma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 AD Tarma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Tarma x Unión Comercio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.