Adama City x Dire Dawa Betting tips for April 2 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Adama City x Dire Dawa, Wednesday, 2/4/2025

📅 2/4/2025 15:00

Adama City 2.88

X 3.04

Dire Dawa 2.23

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Adama City x Dire Dawa:

🔮 Dire Dawa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dire Dawa, you can win up to $1115.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Adama City x Dire Dawa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Adama City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dire Dawa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Dire Dawa, Adama City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Dire Dawa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Adama City has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Dire Dawa playing at home.

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Analysis from Adama City x Dire Dawa for the Ethiopia Premier League – 2 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Adama City and Dire Dawa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294623 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Adama City x Dire Dawa

Is it worth betting on Adama City?

🔵 Adama City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $432.40
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $571.20;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$148.80.

Is it worth betting on Dire Dawa?

🔴 Dire Dawa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $602.70
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$92.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Adama City x Dire Dawa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Adama City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Adama City x Dire Dawa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Adama City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Adama City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Adama City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Adama City x Dire Dawa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.