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Home » Predictions » Others » Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee Betting tips for November 29 in Ethiopia Premier League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 13h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Adama City Adama City
PREDICTION Ethiopian Coffee Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopian Coffee
ODD: @2.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee Betting tips for November 29 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
13:00
Adama City Adama City
3.00
X
2.87
Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopian Coffee
2.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee:

🔮 Ethiopian Coffee wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ethiopian Coffee, you can win up to $1160.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Adama City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethiopian Coffee in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Adama City matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ethiopian Coffee conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Ethiopian Coffee as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee for the Ethiopia Premier League – 29 of November

🏟️ Adama City X Ethiopian Coffee – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Adama City – Winning probability: 20.68% | Fair line: 4.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.37% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Ethiopian Coffee – Winning probability: 46.96% | Fair line: 2.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Adama City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee

Should you bet on Adama City?

🔵 Adama City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $598.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$81.60.

Is it worth betting on Ethiopian Coffee?

🔴 Ethiopian Coffee: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $620.40;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$90.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Adama City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Adama City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Adama City.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Adama City x Ethiopian Coffee

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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