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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi Betting tips for November 24 in Romania Liga I
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Romania Liga I
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt
PREDICTION AFC Hermannstadt wins Probability 7% 1 X 2
CSM Politehnica Iasi CSM Politehnica Iasi
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi Betting tips for November 24 in Romania Liga I

Our betting tip for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
15:30
AFC Hermannstadt AFC Hermannstadt
1.95
X
3.20
CSM Politehnica Iasi CSM Politehnica Iasi
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi:

๐Ÿ”ฎ AFC Hermannstadt wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Hermannstadt, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AFC Hermannstadt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CSM Politehnica Iasi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $193.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, AFC Hermannstadt scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AFC Hermannstadt conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against CSM Politehnica Iasi.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi for the Romania Liga I – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AFC Hermannstadt X CSM Politehnica Iasi – Romania Liga I
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต AFC Hermannstadt – Winning probability: 75.74% | Fair line: 1.32
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.89% | Fair line: 5.92
๐Ÿ”ด CSM Politehnica Iasi – Winning probability: 7.38% | Fair line: 13.56
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AFC Hermannstadt
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi

Is betting on AFC Hermannstadt worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต AFC Hermannstadt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $722.00;
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$482.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $374.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on CSM Politehnica Iasi?

๐Ÿ”ด CSM Politehnica Iasi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $189.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$741.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AFC Hermannstadt
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 AFC Hermannstadt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 AFC Hermannstadt.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Hermannstadt x CSM Politehnica Iasi

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves