AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti Betting tips for December 21 in Romania Liga I

Our betting tip for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 12:00

AFC Hermannstadt 2.36

X 3.00

Petrolul Ploiesti 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti

Some important points for the tip for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Hermannstadt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Petrolul Ploiesti in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti, with AFC Hermannstadt as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, AFC Hermannstadt conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Petrolul Ploiesti conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, AFC Hermannstadt conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Petrolul Ploiesti.

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Analysis from AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti for the Romania Liga I – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti

Is betting on AFC Hermannstadt worth it?

🔵 AFC Hermannstadt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is betting on Petrolul Ploiesti worth it?

🔴 Petrolul Ploiesti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $580.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AFC Hermannstadt
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 AFC Hermannstadt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AFC Hermannstadt.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Petrolul Ploiesti.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Hermannstadt x Petrolul Ploiesti

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.