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Home » Predictions » Others » AFC Hornchurch x Leiston Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England FA Cup Qualification
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
PREDICTION AFC Hornchurch wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Leiston Leiston
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Hornchurch x Leiston Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification

Our betting tip for AFC Hornchurch x Leiston, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
15:45
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
1.46
X
4.20
Leiston Leiston
5.67

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AFC Hornchurch x Leiston:

🔮 AFC Hornchurch wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Hornchurch, you can win up to $730.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AFC Hornchurch x Leiston:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Hornchurch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $143.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leiston in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Summary

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Analysis from AFC Hornchurch x Leiston for the England FA Cup Qualification – 1 of October

🏟️ AFC Hornchurch X Leiston – England FA Cup Qualification
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 AFC Hornchurch – Winning probability: 80.80% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.21% | Fair line: 8.92
🔴 Leiston – Winning probability: 7.99% | Fair line: 12.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AFC Hornchurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on AFC Hornchurch x Leiston is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192611 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Hornchurch x Leiston

Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Hornchurch?

🔵 AFC Hornchurch: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $372.60
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$182.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$538.00.

Is it worth betting on Leiston?

🔴 Leiston: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $373.60
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$546.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Hornchurch x Leiston

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AFC Hornchurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Hornchurch x Leiston

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 AFC Hornchurch and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 AFC Hornchurch.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Leiston.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Hornchurch x Leiston

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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