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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League Central
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
PREDICTION No tip
Stourbridge Stourbridge
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AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
2.65
X
3.60
Stourbridge Stourbridge
2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge

Some important points for the tip for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AFC Sudbury in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stourbridge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Stourbridge scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Stourbridge conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge

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Summary

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Analysis from AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge for the England Southern Premier League Central – 25 of November

🏟️ AFC Sudbury X Stourbridge – England Southern Premier League Central
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ AFC Sudbury – Winning probability: 32.98% | Fair line: 3.03
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.54% | Fair line: 4.64
πŸ”΄ Stourbridge – Winning probability: 45.48% | Fair line: 2.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Sudbury
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AFC Sudbury and Stourbridge.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge

Is betting on AFC Sudbury worth it?

πŸ”΅ AFC Sudbury: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $544.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$125.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Stourbridge?

πŸ”΄ Stourbridge: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Sudbury
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 AFC Sudbury and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AFC Sudbury.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Sudbury x Stourbridge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves