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Home » Predictions » Others » AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 19h15 England FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
PREDICTION AFC Wimbledon wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Dag & Red Dag & Red
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
19:15
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
1.50
X
4.20
Dag & Red Dag & Red
6.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red:

🔮 AFC Wimbledon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Wimbledon, you can win up to $750.00!

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Important information for your tip for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Wimbledon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dag & Red in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dag & Red scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, AFC Wimbledon conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ AFC Wimbledon X Dag & Red – England FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 19:15
🔵 AFC Wimbledon – Winning probability: 87.16% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.95% | Fair line: 14.39
🔴 Dag & Red – Winning probability: 5.89% | Fair line: 16.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AFC Wimbledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red

Should you bet on AFC Wimbledon?

🔵 AFC Wimbledon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $435.00;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$305.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $224.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$706.00.

Should you bet on Dag & Red?

🔴 Dag & Red: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $318.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$622.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AFC Wimbledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 AFC Wimbledon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 AFC Wimbledon.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Wimbledon x Dag & Red

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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