AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham Betting tips for December 30 in England League 2
| 📅 30/12/2024 20:00 |
 AFC Wimbledon1.80 |
X 3.55 |
Gillingham  4.33 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham:
🔮 AFC Wimbledon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Wimbledon, you can win up to $900.00!
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Some important points for the tip for AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Wimbledon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. |
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Analysis from AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham for the England League 2 – 30 of December
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🏟️ AFC Wimbledon X Gillingham – England League 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240463 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham
Is betting on AFC Wimbledon worth it?
🔵 AFC Wimbledon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
- And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$188.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $510.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.00.
Is it worth betting on Gillingham?
🔴 Gillingham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $466.20
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$393.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AFC Wimbledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 AFC Wimbledon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 AFC Wimbledon. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Wimbledon x Gillingham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
