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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป AFC Wimbledon x Notts County Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 2
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
PREDICTION Notts County Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Notts County Notts County
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Wimbledon x Notts County Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2

Our betting tip for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
2.28
X
3.50
Notts County Notts County
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Notts County wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Notts County, you can win up to $1400.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AFC Wimbledon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Notts County in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, AFC Wimbledon scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Notts County conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ AFC Wimbledon is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Wimbledon x Notts County?

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Analysis from AFC Wimbledon x Notts County for the England League 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AFC Wimbledon X Notts County – England League 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต AFC Wimbledon – Winning probability: 32.16% | Fair line: 3.11
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.74% | Fair line: 3.61
๐Ÿ”ด Notts County – Winning probability: 40.10% | Fair line: 2.49
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Wimbledon
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on AFC Wimbledon x Notts County is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County

Should you bet on AFC Wimbledon?

๐Ÿ”ต AFC Wimbledon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $409.60;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$270.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Notts County?

๐Ÿ”ด Notts County: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$120.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Wimbledon x Notts County

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Wimbledon
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 AFC Wimbledon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AFC Wimbledon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Notts County.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Wimbledon x Notts County

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves