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Home » Predictions » Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba Betting tips for December 19 in Mali Premiere Division
Friday, 19 December 2025, 16h00 Mali Premiere Division
Afrique Football Elite Afrique Football Elite
PREDICTION No tip
US Bougouba US Bougouba
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Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba Betting tips for December 19 in Mali Premiere Division

Our betting tip for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba, Friday, 19/12/2025
📅 19/12/2025
16:00
Afrique Football Elite Afrique Football Elite
1.92
X
2.90
US Bougouba US Bougouba
4.03

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

Important information for your tip for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Afrique Football Elite in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on US Bougouba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against US Bougouba, Afrique Football Elite scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba, with Afrique Football Elite as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Afrique Football Elite has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against US Bougouba playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba for the Mali Premiere Division – 19 of December

🏟️ Afrique Football Elite X US Bougouba – Mali Premiere Division
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Afrique Football Elite – Winning probability: 53.22% | Fair line: 1.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.23% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 US Bougouba – Winning probability: 15.56% | Fair line: 6.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Afrique Football Elite
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

Is it worth betting on Afrique Football Elite?

🔵 Afrique Football Elite: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $487.60;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$17.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is betting on US Bougouba worth it?

🔴 US Bougouba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $484.80
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$355.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Afrique Football Elite
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Afrique Football Elite, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Afrique Football Elite.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 US Bougouba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves