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Home » Predictions » Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 21h30 Mexico Segunda Division
Aguacateros CDU Aguacateros CDU
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Aguacateros de Peribán FC Aguacateros de Peribán FC
ODD: @3.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
21:30
Aguacateros CDU Aguacateros CDU
2.54
X
3.46
Aguacateros de Peribán FC Aguacateros de Peribán FC
2.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1730.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguacateros CDU in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguacateros de Peribán FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $151.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Aguacateros de Peribán FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Aguacateros CDU conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Aguacateros de Peribán FC is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 30 of November

🏟️ Aguacateros CDU X Aguacateros de Peribán FC – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Aguacateros CDU – Winning probability: 32.35% | Fair line: 3.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.30% | Fair line: 3.3
🔴 Aguacateros de Peribán FC – Winning probability: 37.35% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Aguacateros CDU
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230061 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Aguacateros CDU?

🔵 Aguacateros CDU: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $492.80;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$187.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $738.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$38.00.

Is it worth betting on Aguacateros de Peribán FC?

🔴 Aguacateros de Peribán FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $506.90;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$123.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Aguacateros CDU
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Aguacateros CDU, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Aguacateros CDU.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Aguacateros de Peribán FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguacateros CDU x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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