Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 21 in Colombia Primera A
π
21/10/2024 01:00 |
Aguilas Doradas 2.15 |
X 2.85 |
Atletico Bucaramanga 3.65 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga
Some important points for the tip for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga: π If you had bet $100 on Aguilas Doradas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-43.0. |
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Analysis from Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Primera A – 21 of October
ποΈ Aguilas Doradas X Atletico Bucaramanga – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga
Is betting on Aguilas Doradas worth it?
π΅ Aguilas Doradas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$32.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $573.50;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$116.50.
Is it worth betting on Atletico Bucaramanga?
π΄ Atletico Bucaramanga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $636.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$124.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aguilas Doradas
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Aguilas Doradas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Aguilas Doradas.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Aguilas Doradas.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.