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Home » Predictions » Others » Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
PREDICTION Deportes Tolima Wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
23:30
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
2.92
X
2.90
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima:

🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $1250.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas Doradas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Aguilas Doradas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Deportes Tolima matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima, with Aguilas Doradas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Aguilas Doradas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Deportes Tolima.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of November

🏟️ Aguilas Doradas X Deportes Tolima – Colombia Primera A
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Aguilas Doradas – Winning probability: 19.99% | Fair line: 5.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.61% | Fair line: 3.07
🔴 Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 47.40% | Fair line: 2.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aguilas Doradas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214258 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima

Should you bet on Aguilas Doradas?

🔵 Aguilas Doradas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$416.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $627.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportes Tolima?

🔴 Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $705.00
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aguilas Doradas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Aguilas Doradas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Aguilas Doradas.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas Doradas x Deportes Tolima

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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