Aguilas x Real Jaen Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Aguilas x Real Jaen, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025
11:00

Aguilas
1.61

X
3.40

Real Jaen

5.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aguilas x Real Jaen:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Aguilas x Real Jaen

Important information for your tip for Aguilas x Real Jaen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Jaen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Real Jaen did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Aguilas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Real Jaen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Real Jaen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Aguilas is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Real Jaen as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Aguilas x Real Jaen for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 21 of December

🏟️ Aguilas X Real Jaen – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Aguilas – Winning probability: 58.93% | Fair line: 1.7
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.36% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Real Jaen – Winning probability: 13.71% | Fair line: 7.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aguilas and Real Jaen.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aguilas x Real Jaen

Should you bet on Aguilas?

🔵 Aguilas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $359.90;
And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Should you bet on Real Jaen?

🔴 Real Jaen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 140 times – profiting $604.80;
And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$255.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas x Real Jaen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas x Real Jaen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Aguilas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Aguilas. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas x Real Jaen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.