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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Ajax Reserves x Roda JC Betting tips for December 23 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Monday, 23 December 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
PREDICTION No tip
Roda JC Roda JC
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Ajax Reserves x Roda JC Betting tips for December 23 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC, Monday, 23/12/2024
πŸ“… 23/12/2024
19:00
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
2.95
X
3.58
Roda JC Roda JC
2.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC

Important information for your tip for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Roda JC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Roda JC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Roda JC, Ajax Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Roda JC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Ajax Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Roda JC.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Roda JC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajax Reserves x Roda JC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajax Reserves x Roda JC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ajax Reserves x Roda JC for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 23 of December

🏟️ Ajax Reserves X Roda JC – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
πŸ“… 23 of December, 2024 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 29.71% | Fair line: 3.37
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.36% | Fair line: 4.1
πŸ”΄ Roda JC – Winning probability: 45.93% | Fair line: 2.18
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ajax Reserves x Roda JC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239281 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC

Is betting on Ajax Reserves worth it?

πŸ”΅ Ajax Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$115.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $619.20;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$140.80.

Is betting on Roda JC worth it?

πŸ”΄ Roda JC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $529.00;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$11.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax Reserves x Roda JC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ajax Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Ajax Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Roda JC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax Reserves x Roda JC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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