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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Ajax Reserves x Top Oss Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
PREDICTION Ajax Reserves wins Probability 14% 1 X 2
Top Oss Top Oss
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Ajax Reserves x Top Oss Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
1.66
X
4.10
Top Oss Top Oss
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Ajax Reserves wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax Reserves, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Top Oss in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ajax Reserves did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Top Oss conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Ajax Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Top Oss.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Top Oss as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Ajax Reserves x Top Oss?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajax Reserves x Top Oss, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ajax Reserves x Top Oss for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ajax Reserves X Top Oss – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 68.91% | Fair line: 1.45
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.70% | Fair line: 5.99
๐Ÿ”ด Top Oss – Winning probability: 14.39% | Fair line: 6.95
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ajax Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss

Is betting on Ajax Reserves worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Ajax Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $455.40;
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$145.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $527.00
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$303.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Top Oss?

๐Ÿ”ด Top Oss: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$440.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax Reserves x Top Oss

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ajax Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Ajax Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Ajax Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ajax Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax Reserves x Top Oss

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves