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Home » Predictions » Ajax (W) x AZ (W) Betting tips for December 12 in Netherlands Cup Women
Friday, 12 December 2025, 18h30 Netherlands Cup Women
Ajax (W) Ajax (W)
PREDICTION Ajax (W) wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
AZ (W) AZ (W)
ODD: @1.21
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Ajax (W) x AZ (W) Betting tips for December 12 in Netherlands Cup Women

Our betting tip for Ajax (W) x AZ (W), Friday, 12/12/2025
📅 12/12/2025
18:30
Ajax (W) Ajax (W)
1.21
X
6.75
AZ (W) AZ (W)
7.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ajax (W) x AZ (W):

🔮 Ajax (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax (W), you can win up to $605.00!

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The main points for the tip for Ajax (W) x AZ (W):

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $73.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Ajax (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against AZ (W), Ajax (W) scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Ajax (W) matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Ajax (W) x AZ (W), with Ajax (W) as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Ajax (W) has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against AZ (W).

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Summary

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Analysis from Ajax (W) x AZ (W) for the Netherlands Cup Women – 12 of December

🏟️ Ajax (W) X AZ (W) – Netherlands Cup Women
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Ajax (W) – Winning probability: 96.04% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.06% | Fair line: 48.59
🔴 AZ (W) – Winning probability: 1.90% | Fair line: 52.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Ajax (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ajax (W) x AZ (W) right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax (W) x AZ (W)

Is betting on Ajax (W) worth it?

🔵 Ajax (W): the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – profiting $201.60;
  • And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$161.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $115.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$865.00.

Is it worth betting on AZ (W)?

🔴 AZ (W): our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $126.40;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$853.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax (W) x AZ (W)

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Ajax (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax (W) x AZ (W)

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Ajax (W), and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Ajax (W).

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Ajax (W).

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax (W) x AZ (W)

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves