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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama Betting tips for November 25 in Bahrain Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Bahrain Premier League
Al-Ahli Manama Al-Ahli Manama
PREDICTION Al-Najma Manama Wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Al-Najma Manama Al-Najma Manama
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama Betting tips for November 25 in Bahrain Premier League

Our betting tip for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
16:00
Al-Ahli Manama Al-Ahli Manama
2.62
X
3.19
Al-Najma Manama Al-Najma Manama
2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Al-Najma Manama wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Najma Manama, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al-Ahli Manama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-64.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al-Najma Manama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Al-Ahli Manama scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Al-Najma Manama, Al-Ahli Manama scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Al-Najma Manama matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama, with Al-Ahli Manama as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Al-Najma Manama has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Al-Ahli Manama has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Al-Najma Manama playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama for the Bahrain Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Al-Ahli Manama X Al-Najma Manama – Bahrain Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Al-Ahli Manama – Winning probability: 30.34% | Fair line: 3.3
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.04% | Fair line: 3.84
๐Ÿ”ด Al-Najma Manama – Winning probability: 43.62% | Fair line: 2.29
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al-Ahli Manama
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al-Ahli Manama and Al-Najma Manama.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama

Is it a good idea to bet on Al-Ahli Manama?

๐Ÿ”ต Al-Ahli Manama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$214.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $569.40
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$170.60.

Is it worth betting on Al-Najma Manama?

๐Ÿ”ด Al-Najma Manama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$78.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al-Ahli Manama
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Al-Ahli Manama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Al-Ahli Manama.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Al-Najma Manama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Ahli Manama x Al-Najma Manama

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves