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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh Betting tips for June 21 in Egypt Division 1
Friday, 21 June 2024, 16h00 Egypt Division 1
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
PREDICTION Al Ahly Cairo wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
El Daklyeh El Daklyeh
ODD: @1.17 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh Betting tips for June 21 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh, Friday, 21/6/2024
📅 21/6/2024
16:00
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
1.17
X
6.22
El Daklyeh El Daklyeh
13.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh:

🔮 Al Ahly Cairo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Ahly Cairo, you can win up to $585.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ahly Cairo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on El Daklyeh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Al Ahly Cairo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against El Daklyeh, Al Ahly Cairo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, El Daklyeh conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Al Ahly Cairo is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Al Ahly Cairo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against El Daklyeh playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for El Daklyeh as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh for the Egypt Division 1 – 21 of June

🏟️ Al Ahly Cairo X El Daklyeh – Egypt Division 1
📅 21 of June, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Al Ahly Cairo – Winning probability: 95.64% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.65% | Fair line: 27.38
🔴 El Daklyeh – Winning probability: 0.71% | Fair line: 141.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Al Ahly Cairo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1136110 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh

Should you bet on Al Ahly Cairo?

🔵 Al Ahly Cairo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $163.20
  • And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$123.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $208.80;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$751.20.

Should you bet on El Daklyeh?

🔴 El Daklyeh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 13.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $120.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$870.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Al Ahly Cairo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Al Ahly Cairo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Al Ahly Cairo.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Ahly Cairo x El Daklyeh

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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